Tomorrow’s Proliferation Pathways:
Weak States, Rogues, and Non-States
July 17-18, 2008
University of Maine Hutchinson Center
Belfast, Maine
Objectives | Agenda | Registration | Accommodations | Directions | Project Directors
Agenda
Click here to download Agenda (doc)
*Note: The suggested dress for all conference events is “California casual” — no suits, no ties
Wednesday, 16 July
1700 – 1830 Conference Registration: Comfort Inn Ocean's Edge - 159 Searsport Avenue - Belfast, Maine 04915 - Phone: (207) 338-2090 - Fax: (207) 338-2528 - E-mail: comfortinnbelfast@adelphia.net - Web Site: http://www.comfortinnbelfast.com/home.html
Thursday, 17 July
0800 – 0845 Introductions
Bahman Baktiari, School of Policy and International Affairs, UMaine
CDR Chris Bidwell, National Security Counselor, Advance Systems Concepts Office, Defense Threat Reduction Agency
David Hamon, Deputy Director, Advanced Systems and Concepts Office, Defense Threat Reduction Agency
James Russell, Naval Postgraduate School
0845 – 0930 Opening Address
Honorable Mary Alice Hayward, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Nuclear Nonproliferation Policy and Negotiations, Bureau of International Security and Nonproliferation
0930 – 1045 Proliferation Pathways: Conceptual Frameworks for the Strategic Environment
Panel Chair: Bahman Baktiari, School of Policy and International Affairs, UMaine
Deepti Choubey, Nonproliferation Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
“(Rethinking) Proliferation: Predictions, Pathways, Prospects”
James Russell, Naval Postgraduate School
"Proliferation Pathways: Sketching the Strategic Landscape"
1045 – 1100 Break
1100 – 1230 South Asian Proliferation Pathways
Panel Chair: Jim Wirtz, Naval Postgraduate School
Bruce Riedel, Saban Center, Brookings Institution
“Pakistan’s Proliferation Pathways”
Neil Joeck, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories
“Proliferation Pathways and India’s Nuclear Program”
1230 – 1330 Lunch, Hutchinson Center Atrium
1330 – 1500 Proliferation Pathways and Russia
Panel Chair: Capt. James Settele, USN, University of Maine
Steven Blank, US Army War College
“Russia’s Evolving Role in WMD Proliferation”
Igor Khripunov, Center for International Trade and Security, University of Georgia
“Russia’s Security Culture and WMD Proliferation”
1500 – 1515 Break
1515 – 1645 Challenges for Intelligence
Panel Chair: Paul Holman, School of Policy and International Affairs, UMaine
John Lauder
“Collection and Analysis: The Problem of Warning”
Jim Wirtz, Naval Postgraduate School
“Deterrence, Intelligence and Proliferation in an Age of Uncertainty”
1700 Reception hosted by Bangor Foreign Policy Forum
Hutchinson Center Atrium
Friday, 18 July
0800 – 0930 Proliferation Pathways for Rogues: The Iran Program
Panel Chair: Kaveh Haghkerdar, Maine Maritime Academy
Bahman Baktiari, School of Policy and International Affairs, UMaine
"The Nuclear Enigma: The Ambiguities of Iranian Politics"
Frank Pabian, Senior Nonproliferation Infrastructure Analyst at Los Alamos National Laboratory
"Evidence from Imagery: An Open and Shut Case? – the Iran and Syrian Nuclear Programs”
0930 -0945 Break
0945 – 1115 Proliferation Pathways and Non-State Actors
Panel Chair: Leonard Spector, Non-Proliferation Center, Monterey Institute for International Studies
Anne Clunan, Naval Postgraduate School
“Ungoverned Spaces, Non-State Actors, and WMD Proliferation”
Douglas Porch, Naval Postgraduate School
"FARC WMD -- the Future of the Colombia Connection"
Margaret Kosal, Sam Nunn School of International Affairs, Georgia Institute of Technology
“Al Qaeda and Unconventional Weapons”
1115 – 1230 Detecting, Disrupting and Closing Proliferation Pathways
Panel Chair: Kenneth Hillas, Deputy Chief of Mission, Warsaw, Poland
Leonard Spector, Non-Proliferation Center, Monterey Institute for International Studies
“Export Controls and Proliferation Networks”
Sharon Squassoni, Nonproliferation Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
“Managing Proliferation in an Expanded Nuclear World”
1230-1330 Lunch, Hutchinson Center Atrium
1330-1445 Proliferation Pathways for Middle Eastern States
Panel Chair: James Russell, Naval Postgraduate School
Daniel Moran, Naval Postgraduate School
“Israel’s Nuclear Program”
Maria Rost-Rublee, University of Tampa
“Egypt’s Nuclear Program”
Chaim Braun, Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University
“The GCC’s Nuclear Programs”
1445 - 1500 Break
1500 – 1700 Concluding Speech and Discussion
Discussants:
Bahman Baktiari, School of Policy and International Affairs, UMaine
CDR Chris Bidwell, National Security Counselor, Advance Systems Concepts Office, Defense Threat Reduction Agency
David Hamon, Deputy Director, Advanced Systems and Concepts Office, Defense Threat Reduction Agency
James Russell, Naval Postgraduate School
1700 Conclusion
